Analytics

Ballot Initiative Signature Forecaster

Compute daily collection targets and model the probability of reaching your petition thresholds.

Ensure you meet your ballot deadline. Compute daily collection targets and model the probability of reaching your net valid signature threshold.

Ballot Initiative Forecaster

Never fail at the Secretary of State's office due to signature invalidation. Calculate your required daily run-rate to hit your legal minimums plus a safe validity buffer.

Recommended 20-30% to account for duplicate or unregistered voter signatures being struck down.

Required Daily Run-Rate

2,889 / day

Must collect this many signatures every day for the next 45 days to hit your safe target.

Progress: 33.3%Target: 195,000
Still 85,000 short of legal minimum
Legal Minimum
Required by state law
150,000
Safety Buffer (30%)
Extra padding for invalidated signatures
+45,000
Total Safe Target
The actual number you should aim for
195,000

Frequently Asked Questions about Ballot Initiative Signature Forecaster

What is the validation rate for petition signatures?

Usually, only 70-80% of collected signatures are deemed valid by the Secretary of State, meaning you must collect a significant buffer.

How does modeling probability help a campaign?

It tells campaign managers whether they need to hire paid signature gatherers to supplement volunteer efforts before the deadline hits.

How does OrgSets scale grassroots advocacy?

Use OrgSets to manage multi-state campaign structures, coordinate signature gatherers, and securely process PAC donations.

Built by OrgSets

Scale your grassroots advocacy.

Use OrgSets to manage multi-state campaign structures, coordinate signature gatherers, and securely process PAC donations.

No credit card required.